The race between incumbent U.S. Rep. Joe Donnelly, D-Ind., and Republican challenger Jackie Walorski is more or less even, according to a leading source of political analysis, The South Bend Tribune reported.
The Cook Political Report upgraded Indiana’s 2nd Congressional District race to “tossup” in its latest evaluation Wednesday (Oct. 20).
Donnelly has been a supporter of the RV industry, which is a major employer in Elkhart County, part of which lies in Donnelly’s district.
Cook, a nonpartisan newsletter that analyzes campaigns for federal offices, had rated the 2nd District race as “leans Democratic” since July. Before that, the race was rated “likely Democratic.”
A poll released two weeks ago by WSBT-TV, South Bend, and WISH-TV, Indianapolis showed 48% of voters surveyed planned to vote for Donnelly or were leaning toward voting for him, while 39% of voters were planning to vote for Walorski or were leaning toward voting for her.
“Donnelly is still in better shape than many other Democrats in comparably GOP-leaning districts in the industrial Midwest,” Cook’s analysis reads, “but even internal Democratic polling shows him with a mid-single digit lead under 50%, suggesting GOP state Rep. Jackie Walorski has largely weathered Democrats’ attacks and remains in close contention.”
“Look to this race as an early bellwether on Election Night.”
Last week, The Chicago Tribune reported that campaign finance reports show Walorski brought in more than $538,000, while Donnelly raised $323,000 during the three-month period that ended Sept. 30.
The Republican state representative also had more cash on hand at the end of the quarter. She had nearly $516,000, while Donnelly had more than $456,000.
Donnelly spent more than Walorski during the quarter. The two-term congressman spent $856,000, while Walorski spent $332,665.
Republicans have targeted the race as they seek to regain control of the House.