Curtin: YOY Shipments Will Gain 11.7% in 2013

September 13, 2013 by · Leave a Comment 

Richard Curtin

Wholesale RV shipments are expected to reach 319,300 units by the end of 2013, a gain of 11.7% above the 2012 total of 285,800, according to a new projection by RV industry analyst Richard Curtin in the Fall 2013 issue of RV Roadsigns.

According to an article in the latest issue of RVIA Today, shipments will continue to edge higher in 2014 to 334,300 units, a 4.7% rise over the projected 2013 year-end total.

The promising outlook for the next two years comes on the heels of the Recreation Vehicle Industry Association’s (RVIA) July 2013 RV Market Reports that shows the industry has been on a torrid pace through the first seven months of this year. Year-to-date shipments have reached 201,130 units, a 13.1% gain over the 177,845 units shipped through the same time period in 2012.

Motorhome shipments have shown the largest percentage gain, rising 35% to 22,322 units through July 2013 compared to 16,531 units though July 2012. Class C motorhomes have increased 42.5% to 10,399 units; Class A motorhomes grew by 33.3% to 10,647 units; and Class B motorhomes have edged up by 2.6% to 1,276 units.

Towable RV shipments are up 13.1% to 201,130 units through July. Conventional travel trailers are up 13% to 124,799 units; fifth-wheel travel trailers have risen by 8% to 3,964 units; and truck campers jumped 5.1% to 2,196 units. Folding camping trailers are off slightly, down 2.8%, to 7,849 units.

“The strong performance of the RV market is due to restored consumer confidence, rising home and stock values, the improved availability of credit, and continued, although slow, gains in job and income prospects,” said Curtin. “Consumers anticipate steady but moderate economic growth in the year ahead accompanied by rising interest rates. Borrowing in advance of those expected increases in rates may accelerate the pace of demand for RVs.”

For more information on RV market statistics and research, visit the “Market Data and Trends” section of

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RV Shipments Bump Translates to Strong Sales

May 29, 2013 by · Leave a Comment 

Two Elkhart, Ind., RV dealerships believe they are headed for a record year in sales. And, according to a report by the South Bend Tribune, based on the latest national numbers, that’s probably not a surprise.

Based on the April figures released Tuesday by the Recreation Vehicle Industry Association (RVIA), wholesale shipments of all RVs were up 10.8 % over March and were 19% better than April 2012.

Last year was the third straight year of increased RV shipments, and April marked the 16th consecutive month of increased shipments compared with the same month a year prior.

And since dealers don’t order RVs unless they believe they can sell them, shipment numbers are generally representative of sales numbers in the industry.

“The banks have loosened up,” said Dave Titus, owner/manager of  International RV of Elkhart. “It’s still not like it was in the early 2000s, but it’s where it should be. The customer has to have some skin in the game as far as down payment. But if the credit is right and the income is right, the bank will give them a loan.”

Scot Moody, a salesman for Total Value RV of Indiana, in Elkhart, said pent-up demand and loosening of credit are two factors behind soaring sales. “It’s a record year here,” said Moody, who has been at TotalValue RV for six years. And it was a record the year before, too, he added.

To read the entire article click here.

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Feb. Shipments Rise In Line with Expectations

March 27, 2013 by · Leave a Comment 

For the 14th consecutive month, recreational vehicle shipments are above what they were the same month the previous year. Not only that but February shipments of 26,120 units are the highest February total since 2008, according to the Recreation Vehicle Industry Association (RVIA).

Kevin Broom, a spokesman for the RVIA of Reston, Va., told the South Bend Tribune that the organization is not surprised by the continued rise in shipments. Wholesale RV shipments are expected to rise to 307,300 units in 2013, according to the latest forecast by University of Michigan professor Richard Curtin, representing a 7.5% increase over 2012.

“We knew throughout the downturn that there was still interest in RVs,” Broom said. “What we’re seeing is the return to long-term interest in RVs, people buying RVs and people wanting RVs. We expect we’re going to see continued growth throughout the year.”

A stabilized economy is one factor, Broom said. So is pent-up demand.

“It’s kind of like the downturn,” he said of the rebound. “There were so many factors that caused RV sales to dip. It’s kind of the same thing. There is pent-up demand and also the economy has stabilized. So people aren’t as concerned about losing their job.

“Home prices have largely stabilized throughout the country. So as the economy has gotten more stable, people have gotten more comfortable about stepping out and making an RV purchase.”

The continued rise in shipments is a very good thing for northern Indiana, where more than 82% of all of the nation’s RVs are produced. The industry employs 24,000 people in northern Indiana in both the manufacturing and supply sector.


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RVIA: Feb. Shipments Gain 6%; Best Since ’08

March 25, 2013 by · Leave a Comment 

RV wholesale shipments to retailers continued to rise in February this year, growing 6% above last month and were 6% ahead of this same month last year on shipments of 26,120 units.  This was the best February total since 2008 with nearly all vehicle categories participating in the improvement. February’s shipments pushed the year-to-date total to 50,499 units, a 16.6% gain over the first two months last year.  On a seasonally adjusted basis, February shipments were at an annual rate of more than 300,000 units.  Year-to-date, the seasonal rate represented more than 320,000 units annualized.



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Thor 2Q Earnings Up 45%; Revenue Rises 24%

March 8, 2013 by · Leave a Comment 

Thor Industries Inc. announced double-digit gains in revenue and earnings for its fiscal second quarter, ended Jan. 31.

Sales for the second quarter totaled $741.6 million, up 24% from $597 million in the second quarter last year, while net income was $19.9 million, up 45% from $13.7 million in the prior-year second quarter. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) for the second quarter were 37 cents, up 48% from 25 cents in the second quarter last year.

For the six months, sales totaled $1.617 billion, up 27% from $1.270 billion in the prior-year period. Net income during the period was $50.9 million, up 41% compared to $36 million in the first six months of fiscal 2012. Diluted EPS were 96 cents versus 66 cents in the prior-year period.

The overall effective tax rate for the second quarter of fiscal 2013 was 22.1% compared to 36.4% for the second quarter last year and was favorably impacted by the settlement of certain state uncertain tax benefits and the retroactive reinstatement of various tax credits.

“We are pleased with the continued growth in revenues we were able to achieve in the second quarter,” said Bob Martin, Thor president and COO. “As we have said in our recent press releases, the RV and bus markets remain very competitive, with elevated levels of discounting on certain products. In the first and second quarters, we made the decision to defend our RV shelf space on dealer lots and maintain momentum with our dealers. Similarly, in our bus business we decided to strategically pursue and win certain bus contracts which required more aggressive pricing, including contracts for entry into new markets.”

Highlights from the report included:

• Total RV segment sales were $636.6 million, up 27% from $501.0 million in the second quarter last year. RV segment income before tax was $31 million, up 35% from $22.9 million in the prior-year period. As a percent of revenues, total RV income before tax rose to 4.9% from 4.6% in the prior year as an increase in sales of higher priced units was partially offset by increased discounts and incentives.

• Towable RV sales were $522.8 million, up 18% from $444.2 million in the prior-year period. Income before tax was $24.1 million, up 14% from $21.2 million in the second quarter last year. Towable RV income before tax fell to 4.6% of revenues from 4.8% a year ago, as increasing unit volumes were more than offset by increased discounts and incentives.

• Motorized RV sales were $113.8 million, more than double the $56.8 million in the prior-year second quarter. Income before tax was $6.9 million, up from $1.7 million last year. As a percent of revenues, motorized RV income before tax rose to 6.1% of revenues from 3.1% a year ago, as increased unit volumes resulted in improved operating leverage.

• Bus segment sales were $105.0 million, up 9% from $96.0 million in the second quarter last year. Income before tax was $1.3 million, compared to $2.6 million in the second quarter last year. Bus segment income before tax fell to 1.3% of revenues from 2.7% a year ago as a result of more aggressive pricing on certain contracts.

“Thor generated strong gains in both revenues and net income during the second quarter, driven primarily by continued strength in the RV market,” said Peter B. Orthwein, Thor chairman and CEO. “Our results for the second quarter reflect the dealer optimism that has been building over the past several months, which is now supported by improving retail traffic and sales at the early spring shows. Based on current market trends, we expect continued sales growth and second half operating margins consistent with the second half of fiscal 2012.”

To view the entire report click here.

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Bowersox: Sequester Won’t Derail RV Industry

March 4, 2013 by · Leave a Comment 

The name of the game in the world of recreational vehicle sales is consumer confidence.

As reported by the South Bend (Ind.) Tribune, things appear to be heading consistently in the right direction there, based on the latest numbers from the Recreation Vehicle Industry Association (RVIA).

January numbers — 24,379 shipments — are up by 30.5% over January of 2012. And that comes on the heels of a 2012 that saw each and every month beat the corresponding month in 2011 when it comes to shipments.

In fact, 2012 RV shipments were up 13.2% over 2011, totaling 285,749. And 2011 was 4.1% higher than 2010.

Mark Bowersox, the executive director of the Recreation Vehicle Indiana Council (RVIC), was pleased with the January shipment news while also offering a unique perspective on the sequester and how it could affect consumer confidence and spending.

Bowersox thinks the sequester that’s poised to cut $85 billion in federal spending from March through September and with it thousands of government jobs might have very little effect.

“I think on March 2 the sun is still going to rise,” Bowersox said. “The interesting thing to me over the last couple years as the country has grown out of this recession is the fact that the American public seems to be getting more and more comfortable with the idea that they’re not going to be totally comfortable anymore.

“It used to be any little blip in the stock market, fuel prices or unemployment numbers … or whatever, it would have people stop and tighten the screws a little bit and wait until everything settled down.

“Those kinds of things that would have gotten an emotional reaction are more easily accepted these days.”

To read the entire story click here.


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RV Shipment Surge Bodes Well for Elkhart Co.

February 27, 2013 by · Leave a Comment 

The RV industry saw just over 30% growth in January, a major surge into the new year, the Recreation Vehicle Industry Association (RVIA) announced Tuesday (Feb. 26).

The shipments of 24,379 RVs in advance of the spring/summer buying season bodes well for Indiana’s Elkhart County, which produces 83%t of all RVs in the U.S. and Canada, according to the RVIA.

The Elkhart Truth reported that the total was 30.5% higher than in January, 2012, according to the RVIA. “All vehicle categories participated in the gains this month,” said RVIA spokesman Bill Baker. The biggest growth in sheer numbers came in conventional travel trailers, according to RVIA spokesman Bill Baker. They saw 35.3% growth, with more than 15,000 shipping out in January.

Class A and C motorhomes both saw shipment boosts of 30% more in January than in the previous January, Baker pointed out. In fact, Class A motorhomes grew by 30.9%, shipping nearly 1,400, while the smaller Class C motorhomes saw a rise of 38.6%t, shipping more than 1,000 to dealers.

If normal trends hold out, those numbers will rise in February and March during the peak season of RV shows aimed at consumers.

To view the entire report click here.


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Baird Co.: Strong Growth Across All Categories

November 28, 2012 by · Leave a Comment 

Editor’s Note: Following this week’s release of the wholesale RV shipments report from the Recreation Vehicle Industry Association (RVIA), the investment firm of Robert W. Baird & Co. distributed a routine advisory note to its investors. Highlights of that note follow.

October RV shipments up 31%. Wholesale shipments improved 31% on strong growth across all categories. Key categories drove the robust growth, with both motorhome (Class A and C) and towable (travel trailer and fifth-wheel) shipments growing 32% in the month. The growth is consistent with elevated dealer sentiment and reportedly strong orders out of the Elkhart open house. Class A and C shipments are now up 8% YTD, and travel trailer and fifth-wheel shipments have grown 14% YTD.

Towable (TT and 5W) shipments up 32%. Travel trailer shipments grew 33%, while fifth-wheel shipments jumped 29%. The strong October growth followed robust shipments in July (+30%), August (+15%), and September (+13%). Combined, travel trailer and fifth-wheel shipments were up 14% YTD.

Motorhome (A and C) shipments grew 32%. Robust motorhome growth continued for the fourth consecutive month as Class A shipments grew 26% while Class C shipments jumped 43%. Class A and C shipments are now up 8% YTD.

Thor. October marks the third month of Thor’s fiscal 1Q13. Thor reported quarterly results on Nov. 26 — towable shipments increased 27% and motorhome shipments jumped 78%.

Winnebago. October marks the second month of Winnebago’s fiscal 1Q13. The October industry growth in motorhomes (A and C; +32%) compares favorably to our +24% expectation for Winnebago shipments.

RVIA updates shipment forecast. RVIA released its updated RV shipment forecast in conjunction with the Association’s annual National RV Trade Show. RV shipments are projected to have increased nearly 10% by the end of 2012, and 2013 shipments are projected to grow 4.5% to nearly 290K units.

To subscribe to this and other Baird reports, contact Craig R. Kennison at


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October Wholesale RV Shipments Soar 31.5%

November 27, 2012 by · Leave a Comment 

Shipments to retailers of all RVs were reported at 24,947 units in the October 2012 manufacturer survey, up 31.5% over last month and up 31.0% ahead of this same month last year, the Recreation Vehicle Industry Association (RVIA) reported.

Double-digit percentage gains were recorded in all vehicle types with Class C motorhomes and conventional travel trailers climbing the most.

Year-to-date, total shipments rose to 246,228 units through October this year, up 12.4% ahead of the same 10-month period last year. On a seasonally adjusted basis, all RV shipments were at an annualized rate of 280,000 units through October this year.

See the accompanying chart for more information.


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RVIA: YOY Shipments Gain 12.7% in September

October 26, 2012 by · Leave a Comment 

Wholesale shipments to retailers of all RVs continued to improve in 2012, reporting totals of 18,976 units in RVIA’s September survey of manufacturers – a gain of 12.7% over the same month one year ago. On a seasonally adjusted basis, shipments in September were at an annualized rate of 254,400 units, down 10.6% from the August pace and the lowest annualized total since January of this year. Even so, actual September shipments of all towable RVs were up 10.3% from the same month one year ago while all motorhome shipments were up 34.6%.

Comparing the past nine-month period to the same period one year ago, all RVs were reported at 221,281 units in 2012, a gain of 10.7% year-to-date. Travel trailer shipments have grown by 16,446 units this year and continue to command the largest unit volume of all vehicle types. Fifth-wheel travel trailers have gained 3,986 units while Class A motorhomes were up 719 units and Class C motorhomes improved by 385 units compared to this same period one year ago. Only folding camping trailers were lower in volume through September this year as compared to the corresponding nine-month period in 2011.

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